The 2025-2026 winter outlook for Apache County, Arizona, indicates a warm and dry season overall, with a high likelihood of warmer-than-average temperatures and below-average precipitation. However, some forecasts suggest the potential for late-season rainfall and above-average mountain snowfall in parts of the state's eastern regions.
A weak La Niña is expected to influence the jet stream, which typically results in a drier pattern for Arizona.
Temperature
- Warmer than average: Expect warmer-than-normal temperatures throughout the winter.
- Coldest periods: The coldest periods could be in mid-November and late January, notes The Old Farmer's Almanac.
Precipitation
- Drier than average: Overall precipitation is expected to be lower than average.
- Late-season rain: Some forecasts mention the possibility of late-season rainfall in January, says azcentral.com.
Snowfall
- Mountain snow: While northern Arizona is forecast to have below-average snowfall, there is a possibility of above-average snowfall in eastern areas, like the mountains near Show Low.
- Snowiest periods: The snowiest periods could be in early December and early to mid-January.
Influencing factors
- La Niña: The presence of a La Niña increases the likelihood that this winter will bring warmer, drier weather across Arizona, driven by a northward shift in the jet stream.
- Dual jet stream: A dual jet stream pattern is anticipated, with a colder northern branch and a subtropical branch that may combine at times.
Last Year's Winter Outlook for Arizona:
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